Each track is a timeline of real events — lab results, roadmap updates, plan markers. So you can see what already happened and what is still a promise.
11 active tracks
ForecastIn progress
Lilly's In Vivo Gene Editor Demonstrates Durable Cholesterol Reduction
Lilly's in vivo gene-editing therapy achieved 62% LDL cholesterol reduction in early trials. This track monitors whether durable LDL reduction (≥50%) at 12 months or beyond is demonstrated in clinical data released by end of 2026.
Target2026
Progress0%
Timeline
ForecastDelayed
In Vivo CRISPR Gene Therapy Receives FDA Approval
Intellia's NTLA-2002, the first in vivo CRISPR therapy to clear Phase 3 trials, is positioned to receive FDA approval within 18 months, opening the pathway for in-body gene editing as a clinical standard.
Target2026
Progress0%
Timeline
UT Austin's Retron System Edits Multiple Disease Mutations Simultaneously
A new retron-based system from UT Austin closes CRISPR's biggest blind spot, correcting multiple disease mutations.
In Vivo Gene Editor Cuts Cholesterol 62%
Lilly's in vivo gene-editing therapy achieves 62% LDL cholesterol reduction in human trial, advancing non-invasive gene therapy approaches
ForecastPlanned
Perovskite Solar Modules Achieve 20% Efficiency at Module Scale
Perovskite solar cells have achieved lab efficiency of 24.3%, but module-scale (>100 cm²) remains a hurdle. This track monitors whether the new 10-minute vacuum process technology achieves certified module efficiency above 20%.
Target2027
Progress0%
Timeline
ForecastPlanned
DNA Origami Vaccines Enter Human Clinical Trials
DNA-based nanostructure vaccine platforms like DoriVac aim to outperform mRNA vaccines and enter human clinical trials by end of 2027, addressing cold-chain logistics and immunity durability.
Target2027
Progress0%
Timeline
DoriVac DNA Origami Platform Aims to Outperform mRNA Vaccines
DoriVac, a DNA-based nanostructure platform, aims to overcome mRNA vaccine limitations with improved immunity and cold-chain logistics.
ForecastPlanned
Revolution Medicines KRAS Inhibitor Receives FDA Approval for Pancreatic Cancer
Revolution Medicines reported practice-changing results targeting KRAS mutations in pancreatic cancer — a target long considered undruggable. FDA approval is expected within 24 months.
Target2028
Progress0%
Timeline
ForecastIn progress
Cardiac Gene Therapy Reports Positive Phase 3 Efficacy Data
After a decade of failed trials, cardiac gene therapy programs are rebounding with new treatments targeting heart failure. This track monitors whether at least one program reports positive Phase 3 efficacy data by end of 2028.
Target2028
Progress0%
Timeline
Cardiac Gene Therapy Rebounds After Years of Failed Trials
Heart failure gene therapy is back with new treatments targeting heart failure after a decade of high-profile stumbles.
Cas12a2, a lesser-known CRISPR protein, destroys entire targeted cells on command — a fundamentally different weapon against cancer than DNA editing. Track monitors progression from lab discovery to first human clinical trial.
Target2029
Progress0%
Timeline
ForecastPlanned
GSK Hepatitis B Functional Cure Achieves Regulatory Approval
GSK's experimental hepatitis B drug achieving a functional cure rate of roughly 20% targets regulatory approval. This would represent a breakthrough in a field where current treatments almost never cure patients.
Target2031
Progress0%
Timeline
ForecastIn progress
Commercial Fusion Plants Deliver Grid Electricity
Private fusion companies demonstrate net electricity generation and grid interconnection before 2035, with Commonwealth Fusion Systems and others meeting grid connection requirements.
Target2035
Progress0%
Timeline
Kuenstliche IntelligenzIn progress
AGI by Defined Test
Which AGI definitions count as passed today, which not?
Target2035
Progress25%
Timeline
GPT-4 passes standardised exams
Bar exam, GRE, AP tests in the top percentile; but no open real-world test.
ARC-AGI: models reach 60%
First models with significant lift, still far from the 85% threshold.
FusionsenergieIn progress
Fusion: Net Energy Gain
Tracking every verified Q>1 result on the path to commercial fusion energy.
Target2040
Progress35%
Timeline
NIF achieves Q>1 (short pulse)
First lab-confirmed net energy gain over a few nanoseconds.
NIF repeats Q>1
Reproducibility confirmed; still far from a power plant.
First private demo announced
Commonwealth Fusion and TAE Technologies announce demonstration plants for 2027.
Commonwealth Fusion Systems Files First Grid Connection Request
Commonwealth Fusion Systems has filed a formal grid interconnection request with PJM — the first company to reach this milestone.